Fresno State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
458  Olivier Bernard JR 32:50
714  Daniel Vartanian JR 33:18
1,269  Kevin Poythress JR 34:09
1,294  John Jamieson SR 34:11
1,465  Chriss Grimble SO 34:26
1,621  Carson Keller SR 34:38
2,696  Matt Nottenkamper FR 36:44
National Rank #141 of 311
West Region Rank #24 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 29.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Olivier Bernard Daniel Vartanian Kevin Poythress John Jamieson Chriss Grimble Carson Keller Matt Nottenkamper
Stanford Invitational 09/29 1129 32:39 33:08 34:22 34:13 34:56 34:44 37:01
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/13 1160 33:09 33:28 34:03 33:47 34:34 34:31 36:22
Mountain West Championships 10/26 1131 32:46 33:20 34:04 34:27 33:46





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 21.6 589 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.8 8.6 12.7 16.8 18.2 16.0 12.5 7.6



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivier Bernard 66.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Daniel Vartanian 94.4
Kevin Poythress 136.5
John Jamieson 137.8
Chriss Grimble 148.4
Carson Keller 156.0
Matt Nottenkamper 200.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.7% 0.7 16
17 2.0% 2.0 17
18 4.8% 4.8 18
19 8.6% 8.6 19
20 12.7% 12.7 20
21 16.8% 16.8 21
22 18.2% 18.2 22
23 16.0% 16.0 23
24 12.5% 12.5 24
25 7.6% 7.6 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0